Big Tech AI Strategies
How the giants are betting on AI — investments, products, and competitive positions
The Big Tech AI race is an arms race measured in billions. Microsoft bet on OpenAI, Google went vertical with DeepMind, Meta chose open source, Amazon backs Anthropic, and Apple plays catch-up. Each strategy reflects different theories about how AI value will accrue.
The Strategic Landscape
Big Tech's AI investments dwarf the entire startup ecosystem. Their strategies diverge on key questions: build vs. partner, open vs. closed, research vs. product, cloud vs. device.
Key AI Products
Strategy: Partner-first. Microsoft bet everything on OpenAI early and won the enterprise AI distribution game. Copilot is embedded across Office, GitHub, Azure, and Windows. The playbook: use OpenAI models while building internal capabilities as a hedge. Stargate partnership adds infrastructure scale.
Key AI Products
Strategy: Vertical integration. Google owns the full stack: research (DeepMind), models (Gemini), chips (TPU), cloud (GCP), and distribution (Search, Android). The "AI-first" pivot is existential — AI threatens search, Google's cash cow. DeepMind's research leads to breakthroughs (AlphaFold) but product execution has lagged.
Key AI Products
Strategy: Open source as competitive weapon. By giving Llama away, Meta commoditizes the model layer, preventing OpenAI/Google from charging monopoly rents. This protects Meta's real business: AI-powered ad targeting and content recommendations. The bet: AI embedded in apps matters more than AI as a standalone product.
Key AI Products
Strategy: Platform play. AWS offers every model through Bedrock rather than picking winners. The Anthropic investment ensures access to frontier models while Trainium chips reduce NVIDIA dependence. Amazon's AI is less visible but deeply embedded in logistics, recommendations, and enterprise workflows.
Key AI Products
Strategy: Privacy-first, device-centric. Apple bets that on-device AI + privacy differentiation beats cloud-first approaches. Apple Intelligence runs locally where possible, using OpenAI for complex queries. The advantage: 2.2B devices and consumer trust. The risk: capability gap vs. cloud-native competitors.
The CapEx Arms Race
AI infrastructure spending has reached unprecedented levels. The big question: is this investment or overcapacity?