AI Pulse
Updated Jan 2026
Jump to Overview Microsoft Google Meta Amazon Apple CapEx
$200B+
Combined AI CapEx 2025
Earnings guidance
5
Frontier model labs
Google, Meta, others
$13B+
Microsoft → OpenAI
Cumulative investment
3
Cloud AI platforms
Azure, GCP, AWS

The Big Tech AI race is an arms race measured in billions. Microsoft bet on OpenAI, Google went vertical with DeepMind, Meta chose open source, Amazon backs Anthropic, and Apple plays catch-up. Each strategy reflects different theories about how AI value will accrue.

The Strategic Landscape

Big Tech's AI investments dwarf the entire startup ecosystem. Their strategies diverge on key questions: build vs. partner, open vs. closed, research vs. product, cloud vs. device.

The Central Question: Will AI commoditize Big Tech's core businesses (search, social, cloud) or entrench them further? The answer depends on whether AI becomes a feature or a platform — and who controls the platform.
Microsoft
$3.1T Market Cap
$13B+
OpenAI Investment
$80B
2025 AI CapEx
FY25 guidance
~33%
Azure Growth
Q2 FY25 YoY
#1
Enterprise AI

Key AI Products

Microsoft 365 Copilot
Azure OpenAI
GitHub Copilot
Copilot (Consumer)
Copilot Studio
Windows Copilot

Strategy: Partner-first. Microsoft bet everything on OpenAI early and won the enterprise AI distribution game. Copilot is embedded across Office, GitHub, Azure, and Windows. The playbook: use OpenAI models while building internal capabilities as a hedge. Stargate partnership adds infrastructure scale.

Google / Alphabet
$2.1T Market Cap
$75B
2025 AI CapEx
Guidance
2
Nobel Prizes
2024
Gemini
Model Family
TPU v5
Custom Silicon

Key AI Products

Gemini (Ultra/Pro/Nano)
Google AI Studio
Vertex AI
Search (AI Overviews)
AlphaFold
Waymo

Strategy: Vertical integration. Google owns the full stack: research (DeepMind), models (Gemini), chips (TPU), cloud (GCP), and distribution (Search, Android). The "AI-first" pivot is existential — AI threatens search, Google's cash cow. DeepMind's research leads to breakthroughs (AlphaFold) but product execution has lagged.

Meta
$1.5T Market Cap
$65B
2025 AI CapEx
Guidance
Llama 4
Open Models
600K+
H100 GPUs
Reported 2024
3.9B
Daily Users

Key AI Products

Llama (Open Models)
Meta AI Assistant
AI-powered Ads
Ray-Ban Meta
Reels Recommendations
WhatsApp AI

Strategy: Open source as competitive weapon. By giving Llama away, Meta commoditizes the model layer, preventing OpenAI/Google from charging monopoly rents. This protects Meta's real business: AI-powered ad targeting and content recommendations. The bet: AI embedded in apps matters more than AI as a standalone product.

Amazon
$2.2T Market Cap
$4B+
Anthropic Investment
Bedrock
Model Platform
Trainium
Custom Chips
#1
Cloud Market Share

Key AI Products

Amazon Bedrock
Trainium / Inferentia
CodeWhisperer
Alexa (LLM)
Amazon Q
Rufus (Shopping)

Strategy: Platform play. AWS offers every model through Bedrock rather than picking winners. The Anthropic investment ensures access to frontier models while Trainium chips reduce NVIDIA dependence. Amazon's AI is less visible but deeply embedded in logistics, recommendations, and enterprise workflows.

Apple
$3.5T Market Cap
Late
Market Entry
On-Device
AI Focus
2.2B
Active Devices
OpenAI
Cloud Partner

Key AI Products

Apple Intelligence
Siri (LLM)
Writing Tools
Image Playground
On-device Models
ChatGPT Integration

Strategy: Privacy-first, device-centric. Apple bets that on-device AI + privacy differentiation beats cloud-first approaches. Apple Intelligence runs locally where possible, using OpenAI for complex queries. The advantage: 2.2B devices and consumer trust. The risk: capability gap vs. cloud-native competitors.

The CapEx Arms Race

AI infrastructure spending has reached unprecedented levels. The big question: is this investment or overcapacity?

2025 AI Infrastructure Spending (Projected/Guided)
Microsoft
$80B
Google
$75B
Meta
$65B
Amazon
$50B
Apple
$15B
The DeepSeek Question: When DeepSeek trained competitive models for $6M, markets briefly panicked. If frontier capabilities can be achieved cheaply, what happens to $200B in infrastructure investment? Big Tech is betting that scale still matters — but the efficiency frontier is shifting fast.

✓ Key Takeaways

Microsoft leads in enterprise through OpenAI partnership
Google has deepest research but struggles with products
Meta's open source strategy is working competitively
Amazon plays platform, offering all models on Bedrock
Apple bets on device-first AI and privacy
Combined CapEx exceeds $200B — unprecedented

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